Tag Archive | "Win 4"

Kelvin Herrera’s up and down season

Everything was trending up for Kelvin Herrera.

KelvinHerrera

It was April 16 and the flame-throwing right-hander already owned a win, two saves and two holds. He had struck out at least two batters in four of his first six appearances of the 2013 season and had yet to give up a run.

And all this was coming off the 2012 season in which he was one of baseball’s best setup men. Last season, Herrera pitched to a 4-3 record with a 2.35 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and struck out 77 in 84.1 innings.

Herrera entered the eighth inning of the game in Atlanta with the score tied at 2. He was ready to blow away the heart of the Braves’ lineup with his blazing fastball.

However, after recording the first out of the inning, Jason Heyward and Justin Upton caught up to Herrera’s heater for back-to-back home runs. After another out, Dan Uggla went deep for the third home run of the inning.

Herrera finished the day with 0.2 innings pitched, 3 hits (all home runs), 4 runs and 1 walk. To put things in perspective, Kelvin only allowed four home runs all of last year.

Just a blip on the radar screen, right? Every pitcher has a bad outing once in a while.

After a scoreless inning the next day against the Braves, Herrera had another stinker, this time against the Boston Red Sox. He entered the game in the eighth inning with a runner on base, two outs and the Royals leading 2-1. Following a walk to the first batter he faced, Herrera served up a home run to Daniel Nava and the Red Sox went on to win 4-3.

In 10 appearances after the April 20 game against Boston, Herrera gave up an earned run in five of them and served up four more home runs. His struggles with the long ball eventually led to his demotion to Triple-A Omaha on May 22.

He had doubled his home run total from 2012 and that was a serious problem in the eyes of Royals management. He needed to go down to the minors and work out the kinks.

“He got to the point by not having confidence in his fastball to where he was trying to overthrow it, so he needs to just smooth his mechanics a little bit and really just go down and have some success,” Manager Ned Yost told the media after Herrera’s demotion. “He’s very young, too, and a big part of our ‘pen, so we need to get him straightened out. Get a little bit of his swagger back and bring him back.”

Aaron Crow served as the eighth-inning reliever while Herrera was in the minors. He has struggled as well, with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in 16.1 innings.

Crow had a meltdown of his own on May 29 against St. Louis, giving up 5 hits, 4 ER, and 1 HR in a 5-3 loss.

Meanwhile, at Omaha,  Herrera appeared in five games, logging 4.2 innings. He gave up 2 hits, 3 walks, and struck out six. Most importantly, no home runs and no earned runs.

The Royals saw what they needed to see from Herrera and recalled him from Triple-A on Tuesday.

Now that he is back, the Royals should give Herrera a shot to regain his setup role. On Wednesday, Ned Yost called on Herrera to pitch the eighth with a 4-1 lead over the Twins. He retired the side in order with one strikeout.

With Herrera’s success in the minors, as demonstrated by the numbers, he should have some of his swagger back. That could be a huge boost for the free-falling Royals.

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If Ya Gotta Lose (And You Do), Lose That Game

The regular season is about to wrap up for 2011, and there are still a few unanswered questions. Among them, who will join the Detroit Tigers, Philadelphia Philles and New York Yankees in the playoffs? Perhaps a more important question to you or I is: Will the St. Louis Cardinals be among those who play in October this year?

If you’re a numbers person, it’s becoming less and less complicated to see what needs to happen in order for St. Louis to break through. Of course, the Cardinals fate will be determined in large part, by the Atlanta Braves, which isn’t an ideal situation for the redbirds. Going into Friday’s action, if the Cards win 4 of their last 6, and the Braves lose 4 of their last 6, game #163 between the Cardinals and Braves would be in St. Louis (presumably on Thursday). A win or loss here or there one way or the other, and you can probably figure out how things shake out. But, as I’ve said for weeks now, the Cardinals have to win their games, which is the only part of the equation they have any control over anyway, and hope other teams can help them out along the way.

Albert Pujols scores on a close play at the plate in Cincinnati

Which brings me to Thursday’s loss to the Mets. What a disappointing way to lose a baseball game, huh? If you missed it, New York put up a serious number in the 9th to come back from a 6-2 deficit, and win the game 8-6 over St. Louis. In ways, it was remnant of so many other games we’ve seen out of this team in 2011. Hold the opponent to one run through the first 7 innings, and give up 7 runs in the last two innings. A really nice outing by Jake Westbrook was wasted, and the redbirds slipped to two games behind Atlanta in the Wild Card race.

The Cardinals had won 12 of their last 14 games, with 7 left to play as they headed into Thursday’s matinee. Winning 12 of 14 hadn’t happened for this team in a long, long time. Expecting to win 19 of the last 21 would be something that even the most optimistic Cardinals fan would have a hard time with. So, you have to figure the Cards were going to lose at least one more time this season. With Atlanta having the day off, I’d submit that they timed their loss quite well.

Obviously, I don’t condone coughing up a 6-2 lead when you’re at home in the ninth inning, several things have gone wrong if that happens. I also don’t condone having your shortstop commit very costly errors on back-to-back days when you’re in the hunt for a playoff spot. I’m just saying that although being one game back is better than being two games back, it’s better to lose a game when the team you’re chasing if off, and can’t rub proverbial salt in the wound you’ve made for yourself.
As others have pointed out: Whether the Cardinals won or lost on Thursday, it was still going to be their job to win the next game. And the next one, and the one after that. While the Cards host the Cubs, the Braves will have to face the Nationals–including Steven Strasburg tonight. Once the current series wraps up, the Cardinals head to Houston to face the 100+ loss Astros, and the Braves end their regular season against the Phillies. Since the National League playoffs are scheduled to start on Saturday, it seems Roy Halladay will pitch on Sunday, setting the Braves up to face Cliff Lee on Monday, and Tuesday & Wednesday’s PHI starters still TBD.

It still shapes up very favorably for the Cards if they can capitalize, and win their games. Atlanta is trying to give them the Wild Card spot for the postseason, and if they don’t take it, they’ll have no one to blame but themselves. THIS, my friends, will be an exciting weekend in Cardinal Nation!

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Be Careful What You Wish For

It really is a simple formula.

1 – Fans clamor for their team to make a move to improve their chances towards a post-season appearance
2 – The team identifies the player(s) that it can use as bait for a solid trade
3 – The team makes the trade that they feel will give them the best chance to win
4 – Finally the fans get the chance to scream that it was the wrong deal

Luddy

Last season, the Cardinals identified the opportunity to fill the void in the starting rotation by trading one of their offensive weapons, and a fan favorite, Ryan Ludwick. Jake Westbrook was introduced to the Cardinal faithful and was embraced by many fans, though many screamed that the price was far too high. Since then, Westbrook’s success has been fair while Ryan Ludwick has struggled in San Diego.

Since the trade was completed last season, Jake Westbrook is 13-8 with a 4.33 Earned Run Average. He has struck out 118 batters while walking 66. Meanwhile, Ryan Ludwick has posted a .227 batting average, 17 home runs, and 88 runs batted in over 158 games played.

Surprisingly, it was last year that everyone expected to see Colby Rasmus find his way into another uniform and clubhouse. Colby’s stay in St. Louis seemed to be coming to an end as the manager took his complaints straight to the media and everyone became aware that Rasmus himself had requested a trade. It has been well documented the problems between Rasmus, Tony LaRussa, the coaching staff and the organization.

It would take a full season for the Cardinals and Rasmus to find a reason to part ways. The team would find a trade partner and receive a package that they feel will best benefit them in the future. The months ahead will see the players involved in this deal take drastically different paths with varying degrees of success. Ultimately, the Cardinals decision was based as much on the future as it was 2011.

That is right, in a deal that sent an outfielder that is under team control for another three years to another franchise, the Cardinals management has shown a pure focus on both winning in 2011 and building for the future. You see, the details of this deal go far beyond the players that were involved and remain in the potential at the end of the season.

One swift move is what it took for John Mozeliak to strengthen his bullpen, rotation, and bench while subtracting a sub-par player from the lineup, despite his potential upside down the road. The Cardinals added a strong fifth starter, a veteran swing man reliever, a young reliver with a lot of promise, and moved a strong relief pitcher back to the bullpen from the rotation. It was that single trade that has provided a positive impact on three spots in the bullpen, one spot in the rotation, one spot on the field, and one spot on the bench.

Here is a look at each move and the immediate impact on the team.

Edwin Jackson takes McClellan’s spot in the rotation

Kyle McClellan takes bullpen spot

Octavio Dotel takes P.J. Walter’s spot as inning eater

Marc Rzepczynski takes Trever Miller’s spot

Jon Jay takes Colby Rasmus’ spot

Corey Patterson takes Jon Jay’s spot

That takes care of 2011, but what about the future? That answer is a little more entailed, but equally important. Here is a look at what the Cardinals have ensured for the future.

Corey Patterson is a veteran fourth outfielder that is signed rather cheaply through the remainder of 2011. Should he perform well this season and show that he still has something left in the tank (he turns 32 years old later this season) he may be playing himself into a contract down the road.

Jon Jay is under team control and has his second chance in as many years to prove that he can be a productive, cost controlled part of this team for a long time to come. Should he establish himself as the player that he has been from the bench, the loss of Colby Rasmus is not as impactful as feared.

Marc “Scrabble” Rzepczynski is under team control through 2016 and projects as a possible impact in the bullpen, as a starter, or possibly even as a closer. The young arm should not be overlooked, this young man was the long term focus of this deal.

Dotel has an option on his contract. Should that option be declined and arbitration be offered, he projects as a Type B free agent at the very least. This would yield the Cardinals a draft pick in the 2012 draft.

Jackson is an interesting deal as many people are considering him a “rental” player that will benefit the club for the next few months. He has, however, put together a solid season and many project him as a Type A free agent at the end of the season. The team would receive two draft picks in the event that he signs with another club and would still have the opportunity to keep him in St. Louis should they decide he belongs here.

All things considered, the Cardinals have landed a pitcher that they see being a part of the solution for a long time to come, 1-3 draft picks in 2012, an opportunity to pick up three minor leaguers as the “player to be named later” subscript, and some much needed help for the stretch run of the current season.

The biggest pratfall that the fans will need to be wary of is the buyer’s remorse tag that accompanies a deal of this nature. Deals and trades are made with the future in mind and some players, regardless of their ability, simply do not perform under the tuteladge of some managers. Colby Rasmus was showing signs of being the type of player that would never perform to the height of his ability while inside the St. Louis Cardinals organization.

Fans should be prepared for the fact that Colby Rasmus could very well become a successful outfielder that plays at an All Star level in Toronto or elsewhere. The obvious example of this is Chris Perez in Cleveland. Fans should also remember that those players were not having any success here in St. Louis and simply continuing to play under the same management may have never yielded those same results. Should Rasmus go on to become a top-tier outfielder, fans have to ask the question “Could he really have done that here?” and realize the answer is a simple and impactful “no”.

Be careful what you wish for Cardinal nation, you just might get it. In the meantime, you might find out that your team, and the man pulling the strings, may very well be preparing for something beyond the names in the newspaper.

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