Tag Archive | "Cg"

The Big Question Might Be The Big Z

Carlos Zambrano.

There are very few names that will launch most any baseball writer into a tirade quicker than that one. Zambrano is the type of player that is seldom loved in our end of the spectrum that is baseball but when he is, that writers will quickly come to his defense. More often than not, writers are quick to point out all of the wonderful flaws that surround the pitcher known simply as “Z”.

As a writer myself and a lover of baseball, I dislike the term “off-season”. There truly is no off-season in baseball, it simply becomes a time of year when Major League Baseball is not operating games with the thirty clubs that we all follow so closely. It is this time of year, the administrative time of year, that games shift to winter ball and our focus turns to our team’s adjustments being made for the following season.

Today we have learned, thanks to an interview with Mark Carman at 610 Sports, that Dayton Moore has identified a possible fit in Kansas City for the game’s most interesting character, Carlos Zambrano. From that interview:

We would have to be interested. We would have to explore it because that’s what you should do. You should explore every opportunity. Carlos Zambrano is a heckuva competitor. Carlos Zambrano has had a lot of success in the major leagues. Carlos Zambrano is actually a very pleasant, easy going, classy person off the field. Sometimes, as with all of us the competitiveness takes over and brings out qualities in us that we are not proud of. Obviously the Cubs grew tired of some of his outbursts but I believe in our coaching staff and we’ll always take a chance and a risk on certain players. We’ll see how that particular situation unfolds.

Let me try to break the mold of the two types of writers I just described and let’s take a look at the two sides of Carlos Zambrano. First, we will drop by our friends at Baseball-Reference for some pure statistical analysis:

Year Age Tm W L ERA G GS GF CG IP R ER HR BB SO WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2001 20 CHC 1 2 15.26 6 1 1 0 7.2 13 13 2 8 4 2.478 12.9 2.3 9.4 4.7 0.50
2002 21 CHC 4 8 3.66 32 16 3 0 108.1 53 44 9 63 93 1.449 7.8 0.7 5.2 7.7 1.48
2003 22 CHC 13 11 3.11 32 32 0 3 214.0 88 74 9 94 168 1.318 7.9 0.4 4.0 7.1 1.79
2004 23 CHC 16 8 2.75 31 31 0 1 209.2 73 64 14 81 188 1.216 7.5 0.6 3.5 8.1 2.32
2005 24 CHC 14 6 3.26 33 33 0 2 223.1 88 81 21 86 202 1.146 6.9 0.8 3.5 8.1 2.35
2006 25 CHC 16 7 3.41 33 33 0 0 214.0 91 81 20 115 210 1.294 6.8 0.8 4.8 8.8 1.83
2007 26 CHC 18 13 3.95 34 34 0 1 216.1 100 95 23 101 177 1.331 7.8 1.0 4.2 7.4 1.75
2008 27 CHC 14 6 3.91 30 30 0 1 188.2 85 82 18 72 130 1.293 8.2 0.9 3.4 6.2 1.81
2009 28 CHC 9 7 3.77 28 28 0 1 169.1 78 71 10 78 152 1.376 8.2 0.5 4.1 8.1 1.95
2010 29 CHC 11 6 3.33 36 20 2 0 129.2 55 48 7 69 117 1.450 8.3 0.5 4.8 8.1 1.70
2011 30 CHC 9 7 4.82 24 24 0 0 145.2 80 78 19 56 101 1.442 9.5 1.2 3.5 6.2 1.80
11 Seasons 125 81 3.60 319 282 6 9 1826.2 804 731 152 823 1542 1.319 7.8 0.7 4.1 7.6 1.87
162 Game Avg. 14 9 3.60 36 32 1 1 207 91 83 17 93 174 1.319 7.8 0.7 4.1 7.6 1.87
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/8/2011.

If you took a look at that chart and did not know who it belonged to, you would be in full support of Dayton Moore pursuing this opportunity. He is a top of the rotation type starter that can dominate when he is on his game.

The true test, however, is Zambrano off the field. Face it, the Royals are a very young franchise right now. Guys like Jeff Francoeur not only add production, but leadership to the clubhouse. Frenchy is the type of guy you want around the young players, showing them the ropes and teaching them life outside of, and around, the game.

Like him or not, Zambrano has had some meltdowns. He walked out on his team last season. He gets visibly upset on the field and has been known to fight with his teammates, even in the dugout during a game.

The player that takes the mound would be a game changer for the Royals.

The player that has had so many public problems would be a distraction to a young team.

Those two points are hard to put on a scale and weigh out. Dayton Moore has that choice before him right now. Is the risk of the possible chemistry problem worth the reward of what the player can provide on the field?

What works in the Royals favor is the situation in Chicago itself. The Cubs are going to cut bait with Zambrano, so if they can find a trade partner to send them a bag of balls and pick up $1 million of the horrible contract he is under, they will take it. It puts Moore in a good position to move a low level prospect and barely pick up any salary in order to acquire a potential front of the line starter. Again, the Royals General Manager had this to say:

He has a no-trade clause for 29 other teams so he is going to have to be comfortable wherever he goes and there is a lot of money attached to his deal. There is a vesting option that is a part of that worth $18 or 19 million going forward. We certainly wouldn’t want to put ourselves in a position where we have to honor a contract of that nature.

I don’t envy GMDM on this one. It is not as clear cut as you would like it to be.

The quotes utilized in this article were provided by MLBTradeRumors.com and have been credited to CSNChicago.com’s Dave Kaplan.

Bill Ivie is the editor here at I-70 Baseball as well as the Assignment Editor for BaseballDigest.com.
He is the host of I-70 Radio, hosted every week on BlogTalkRadio.com.
Follow him on Twitter here.

 

 

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2010 Year In Review: Cards Pitcher Of The Year – Adam Wainwright

If you were asked to describe the 2010 St. Louis Cardinals in one solitary word, what would you say?

Disappointing? Of course they were, but I’d use “inconsistent.”

No matter which word comes to mind, we can all agree that the 2010 season ended much differently than we thought it would back in March. Actually, I’d say it ended much differently than we thought it would in July.

Even Albert Pujols, the best hitter I have ever seen, seemed to have an “off” year. His numbers are still eye-popping, but it just seemed like his impact wasn’t as evident as it was in years past. Even he seemed inconsistent. Matt Holliday, Chris Carpenter, Colby Rasmus, Ryan Ludwick (when he was a Cardinal) were all inconsistent at times.

There was one player, however, who wasn’t. Adam Wainwright put together yet another Cy Young-caliber season, and if it wasn’t the “Year of the Pitcher,” I fully believe he would have a brand new trophy sitting on his mantle.

On a team full of guys who never really found that groove in the 2010 season, Adam Wainwright when out, day after day, and pitched gems. Roy Halladay had an amazing year, please don’t get me wrong. But when you look at what both pitchers did, the Cy Young Award shouldn’t have been the landslide that it ended up being. Halladay may have pitched for a playoff team, but Wainwright was the most consistent pitcher, from April to September. It’s hard to argue that.

If you look at his statistics by month, you’ll see exactly what I’m talking about.

By Day/Month ERA W L SV SVO G GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
April 2.13 4 1 0 0 5 5 2 38.0 26 10 9 1 8 30 .203
May 2.41 3 2 0 0 6 6 0 41.0 33 11 11 3 13 47 .224
June 2.45 4 2 0 0 6 6 1 40.1 32 13 11 5 11 37 .218
July 1.85 3 1 0 0 5 5 1 34.0 28 7 7 2 7 28 .231
August 2.57 3 3 0 0 6 6 1 42.0 30 12 12 1 11 36 .200
September 3.09 3 2 0 0 5 5 0 35.0 37 15 12 3 6 35 .268

As you see, I think the word “consistent” would describe him better than anything. And isn’t that what every GM in baseball is looking for? Guys who they can put on the mound and, without a doubt, can give you some grade-A pitching. That’s exactly what Wainwright did for six months.

Heading into the season, many “experts” predicted Wainwright to have a down year for the Cards. Well, they were wrong. Instead, he established himself as not only one of the best pitchers in the National League, but one of the best starting pitchers in the MLB.

Adam ranked in the top three in almost every major pitching category. He was third in games started, 3rd in innings pitched, 2nd in wins, 3rd in WHIP, 2nd in ERA, 2nd in complete games, 1st in quality starts, 3rd in K/BB ratio, 2nd in FIP, and 1st in component ERA. In other words, he was, what I like to call, the “Chef’s Salad.”

Unfortunately for Waino and the rest of the Cardinal community, Roy Halladay had a brilliant season. I’m not trying to take anything away from him, and I’m certainly not suggesting the wrong guy won the Cy Young. What I am saying is that Wainwright was as good as it gets in 2010. According to his WAR number, he won the Cardinals six games. I’m not buying that though. It’s one of the hardest things to predict in sports, but I strongly believe that the Cardinals wouldn’t have done anything this year without Wainwright.

Runner-Up: Jaime Garcia
Jaime had one of the best rookie seasons we’ve ever seen from a starter. He found his inner Fernando Valenzuela, and if it wasn’t for Buster Posey, Garcia may have very well won the Rookie of the Year.

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