Tag Archive | "Breaking Ball"

Pitching Showcase

Spring Training 2013 was not supposed to be an exciting one for the St. Louis Cardinals.  A team that had made very few offseason moves was primarily set for the upcoming season.  Then, an injury to a veteran starter opened up a door.

 

Cardinals prospect Michael Wacha

Cardinals prospect Michael Wacha

The injury to Chris Carpenter might have opened up a door but the depth within the organization has kicked it wide open.  The arms in camp are plentiful and it will result in someone finding themselves in Memphis waiting for their time to arrive.

Thursday was the showcase of that talent at a very real level.  The day started with all of the focus on the starting rotation and young hurlers Joe Kelly and Shelby Miller bidding to be the fifth starter for the club.  They both reached their pitch counts and there was more baseball to be played, so manager Mike Matheny opened the doors to the trophy case and gave the world a glimpse of the future in St. Louis.

The first arm behind Kelly and Miller was that of flame thrower Trevor Rosenthal.  Rosenthal recently was removed from the three horse race for the final rotation spot but has found himself strongly entrenched in the major league bullpen.  Matheny has been noted as saying that he can see using Rosenthal to help get closer Jason Motte some down time with full confidence.  The young man has wowed the crowds in Florida this Spring with pitches over 100 miles per hour and great control.  His breaking ball is sharp, his changeup is keeping guys off balance, and the heat is definitely there.

Once Rosenthal was done, however, there were two more innings left to play.  The surprise of the Spring has been the emergence of young Michael Wacha as another power arm that is close to ready for prime time.  Wacha would enter the game to pitch the final two innings and secure the win.  The young man proved his continued worth and helped showcase the future of the Cardinals with two solid innings of relief.

The showcase of talent led to some clarity after the game, however.  The Cardinals continued to trim their roster on Thursday with the official announcement coming Friday morning.  Wacha, as expected, was sent to minor league camp and placed on the Triple-A roster.  Joining him in Memphis will be reliever Eduardo Sanchez.

That adds yet another wrinkle to the competition in camp.

The question has remained the same: what happens to the starter that does not make the rotation?  Generally speaking, my opinion has stood that if Kelly is the starter, Miller will be in Memphis to start the year.  On the opposite side of the coin, if Miller was chosen to start, Kelly would most likely find himself in the St. Louis bullpen.  The challenge to all of this is the emergence of a solid Spring showing for Fernando Salas.  His four appearances this spring, which produced four innings, have been solid and have him laying claim to a bullpen spot this year.

As we enter the last few weeks of Spring Training, there are now three arms – Shelby Miller, Joe Kelly, Fernando Salas – for two spots.  One will be the fifth starter.  One will be in the bullpen.  One will be in Memphis.  The 2013 roster is shaping up with some interesting decisions.

The future beyond 2013 looks very, very bright.

 

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How bueno is Waino 2.0?

Last night, May 1st, Adam Wainwright got his first victory of the year against the Pittsburgh Pirates, as the Cardinals bats lashed out for 10 runs and 13 hits. The Pirates and their inept defense can always be counted on as a cure for any offensive slump! But more important to the long-term outlook of St. Louis season, is the progress made by Wainwright in his recovery from Tommy John surgery that caused him to miss all of the 2011 season. Wainwright pitched seven innings with the following line: 5 hits, 4 ER, 1 BB, 6 K’s. Not a bad outing. The million dollar question is, what is the new standard of expectation for post-TJ Waino, or Waino 2.0, as I like to call him.

Concerns abounded when Wainwright had several less than stellar starts. Questions arose such as, “will he ever get his velocity back?”, “why isn’t his breaking ball working like it used to?”, “should he go to the bullpen until he gets ‘right’”? Certainly all reasonable questions based on his early performance, made more alarming by his stellar spring training. Everyone thought the Cardinals were getting Waino 1.0 back. The problem is no two pitchers are exactly the same, and no two pitchers respond to TJ surgery in the same manner, or on the same timetable.

So far in 2012, Wainwright has pitched 27 innings with an ERA of 6.75, WHIP of 1.31, and only 1 win against 3 losses. His numbers are worse than any other pitcher on the Cardinals staff using the above metrics. A deeper look into the numbers will reveal that things are not quite as “bad” as they may seem through his first five starts.

A quick qualitative observation before we dig into the numbers…

Wainwright looks extremely focused every time I have seen him. He definitely has the Carp death stare down to a science since his return. The other thing I have noticed while watching him pitch, however, is that he seems to be laboring on the mound pretty heavily. Watch his breathing as he pitches, he is really huffing and puffing out there. Part of it I attribute to adrenaline, and part to getting back into the routine of pitching every five days when the games actually matter. I do not believe he has fully re-accustomed to the physical demands of pitching and it is affecting his stuff. Each time out, his game conditioning and strength will improve, and as a result make it easier to locate his pitches and his breaking ball to break like it should.

In regards to his numbers….

Through his first 27 innings, he has struck out 27 batters. That is a very encouraging sign. In addition, he has only walked 6 batters. His 4.5 K/BB ratio is better than any season of his career (yes I know, small sample size and all that), but Wainwright’s struggles can not be attributed to no longer being able to strike batters out or an inability to throw strikes. He is doing better than ever in that category.

He has a ground ball rate of 54%, which is tremendous. Line drive rate of 18% is also very good. His babip (batting average balls in play) is 31%, which is right near league-average. The main area of concern for Wainwright so far has been % of flyballs that leave the yard. So far this season, 33% of flyballs hit against him have been home runs, and in his last two starts, 50%.

That is an astounding percentage, and I fully expect that number to return to league average 10% in his coming starts. Had that been the case, his ERA would actually be 2.80 this season instead of 6.75. As a matter of fact, that is his xERA (2.80) to date.

No one fully knows what “normal” looks like for Waino 2.0. What we do know is that all the metrics are very good, save home run/fly ball percentage. Once that is corrected, Wainwright should be a sub-3 ERA pitcher again, and the Cardinals pitching staff will be even better.

Scary thought.

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Shelby Miller righting the ship

St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Shelby Miller has bounced back from two sub par outings and has now fanned 15 batters in his last 10 innings after tossing five shutout frames Tuesday.

 

Miller did not appear to be a strong consideration to make the Cards’ rotation out of spring training but it wasn’t completely ruled out until he was shipped to minor league camp in March. He’s the No. 2 starting pitching prospect in Keith Law’s Top 100 and the No. 1 arm remaining in the minors (Tampa’s Matt Moore already is in the Rays’ rotation).

Miller’s ETA could depend largely on the club’s workload plan for the right-hander, as he’s not likely to be allowed to approach 200 innings after throwing 139 2/3 last season at age 19.

Here’s what ESPN’s Keith Law had to say about Miller just prior to the start of the season:

“He will sit in the low- to mid-90s and touch 97 mph as a starter with a sharp breaking ball in the upper-70s/low-80s with good depth that misses right-handed hitters’ bats. He continued to make progress this year with his changeup, a pitch he rarely needed or used as an amateur, and the pitch has good tailing action that has helped him gets some swinging strikes against lefties. He is very receptive to coaches’ suggestions and has proved a quick study so far. He often lands on the third-base side of the rubber and comes slightly across his body, creating deception but also potentially putting stress on his shoulder. If the Cardinals can keep him more on line, and he sees more improvement in the changeup and command of the fastball, he’s a potential No. 1 starter for the Cardinals in two or three years.

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A-T-L In The S-T-L: What The L To Look For

To borrow a phrase from Joe Biden, “This is a big [freakin’] deal.”

Often it’s said during the season that a series or even a single game or inning just might be the “point that we look back on” once the season is over. Inferred is that we look back on that game, inning, pitch, whatever, and point like Matlock at the exact thing that sparked the beginning of the end. “Dude. Remember that hanging 1-2 breaking ball in the bottom of the 4th at San Diego two months ago? That was it, right there. Season? Over.”

Matlock

High Cheese, your honor. Gets ‘em every time.

During the offseason, and leading up to spring training, we heard rumors of varying contract numbers. And again this year, every game since Opening Day we’ve been hearing about that serious number. But now it’s mid-September, and the two numbers most fans are watching closely are “magic” numbers, and elimination numbers. Headed into Friday night’s action, the Cardinals elimination numbers are 11 and 12. If the Cards lose 11 games in the standings of the National League Central Division, they’ll be mathematically eliminated from the possibility of winning the division over the Milwaukee Brewers; Lose 12, and they can kiss hopes of defeating the Atlanta Braves the wild card goodbye too. Which brings us to this weekend, as those Braves come to Busch Stadium for an epic battle between two powerhouses in baseball. Two of most storied franchises in all the land will face off and only one will remain standing. Cue the John Williams score. That’s right, fans, it ALL COMES DOWN TO THIS SERIES!! Ok, not really. It is an important series though, as September playoff implications go.The redbirds will host Larry Jones and the Bobby Cox-less Atlanta Braves this weekend in St. Louis. Friday’s pitching matchup features Edwin Jackson for the Cards & Randall Delgado for the Braves. For Delgado, it’s a tale of ridiculously small sample sizes at the Major League level. He has never faced the Cardinals–not hard to imagine when you consider he’s had one start in each of the months of June, August, and September so far in 2011, totalling 15 IP, never going more than 6 in a single outing. The 21 year-old Atlanta right-hander is sure to have his work cut out for him, as he faces a potentially explosive lineup, and the Braves are struggling a bit lately. They’re 5-5 over the last 10, against the Mets, Nationals, Dodgers & Phillies.For Saturday night’s game, Jamie Garcia draws Derek Lowe, and Garcia’s extra rest will hopefully be enough to keep the Cardinals in it. If the Braves can get some offense going, and put up a crooked number, things could fall apart quickly for the young left-hander. Lowe looks to bounce back from surrendering 5 runs in 5 innings his last outing, on Labor Day. Even more so than most games, this one will be all about the starting pitching.

On Sunday, it’ll be Westbrook and Hudson squaring off. Westbrook has seemed to have more control of late, walking only one batter in his last two outings. There have been plenty of INNINGS this year when he’s exceeded that, and that control will have to continue on Sunday afternoon. Hudson’s ERA is lower by about a point and a half, and the Atlanta starter has been considerably more consistent over the 2011 season than his counterpart. It’s almost odd that the Cardinals are at home on a Sunday, and the game hasn’t been moved to Sunday night for ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. That game will be played, appropriately, in Flushing, as the Mets host the cubs on the tenth anniversary of the terrorist attacks of 2001.

By the time the sun sets on Sunday, the Cardinals could be as much as 10 ½ games out of the wildcard race, or be as close as 4 ½, in the event of either team sweeping the other. As a side note, the Brewers are hosting PHI, and lost to Hamels last night, lining them up to face Halladay, Lee, and Worley this weekend. Better them than us, though I did make a prediction about this series back in January that has since turned out to be a little off. From there, it’s all about what the Cardinals can put together for the rest of the season, and not rely on other teams losing–they have to rely on themselves, and win games. They need momentum, something they’ve not had much of all year, if they want to have a chance at October baseball, and time is running out.

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Hometown Starters

On Monday night, April 5, 2011, Kyle McClellan reached an important career milestone. After two arm surgeries and three years in the Cardinals bullpen, the Hazelwood West graduate was finally making his first major league start. When Adam Wainwright went down to an elbow injury early in spring training, a spot in the rotation opened it. Throughout all of spring training, McClellan out-pitched both Lance Lynn and Brandon Dickson, forcing the managers hand in the same manner as Jaime Garcia did in 2010.

Shortly before McClellan took the mound, sportswriter Rob Rains shared this interesting piece of information.

There will be history tonight at Busch:. Kyle McClellan is only the 10th StL born and raised pitcher to start for the Cardinals in 100 yrs.
@RobRains
Rob Rains

A few moments later, Rob gave us the first two names on this list: Cliff Politte (1998) and Al Omsted (1980). You knew we couldn’t leave it at that, right ? Of course not.

Looking back at the last 100 years of Cardinals history, and perhaps casting a wider net over the St. Louis area to include De Soto, Missouri and Batchtown, Illinois, here is the list of those home town starters for the St. Louis Cardinals.

Kyle McClellan

Kyle McClellan – Hazelwood West (Hazelwood, Mo). 1 start in 2011, and counting. And what an impressive start it was. In six innings of work, McClellan put aside any concerns about his ability to work through the opponents batting order more than once. He would face all but the bottom of the order three times, and over that span he would allow just six hits while striking out seven. The two Pirates runs came on a Lyle Overbay home run in the first inning, teaching the youngster a valuable lesson – veteran power hitters can smack a flat curve ball a long way. To his credit, McClellan adapted, and Overbay never saw another mediocre breaking ball. The bullpen would combine for three more scoreless innings, allowing a late rally to give the Cardinals a much needed win. McClellan would not get a decision, but earned the admiration of the big hometown crowd that was in attendance.

Cliff Politte

Cliff Politte – Vianney (Kirkwood). Cliff Politte would compile a 2-3 record in 8 starts for the Cardinals in 1998. He would then be traded to the Philadelphia Phillies where he would get a few more starts before being moved to the bullpen. That’s where Politte enjoyed his greatest success as a major leaguer, the best being with the Chicago White Sox in 2005. Politte would return to the Cardinals, pitching for Memphis (AAA) before retiring from baseball in 2008.

There was another Cliff Politte in the Cardinals farm system in the early 1960s. He too was from St. Louis, and a pitcher, although from the port side. This Cliff Politte made it as far as AA, appearing in 10 games with the Tulsa Oilers in 1964. His minor league numbers suggest that he struggled with his control, but yet was impressive at both the A and AA levels. When a lefty like that disappears suddenly, an arm injury seems the most likely culprit.

What are the odds of two unrelated Cliff Politte’s from the St. Louis area, both pitching for the Cardinals ? Although I can find nothing linking the two of them, their ages are consistent for a father and son twosome.

Al Olmsted

Al Olmsted – Hazelwood East (Hazelwood, Mo). The big left-hander had a monster season for the Springfield Redbirds (AAA) in 1980, which prompted a September callup with the big club. He would make five starts in September, including an impressive 9 1/3 scoreless inning effort against the Philadelphia Phillies in his debut.

Olmsted would become part of Whitey Herzog’s team overhaul in 1981, being sent to the San Diego Padres in the Rollie Fingers deal. What makes this interesting is Olmsted would return to St. Louis a year later as the “player to be named later” in the Ozzie Smith trade. Injuries, including a torn triceps muscle, would keep Olmsted from returning to the major leagues after that impressive September in 1980.

John Fulgham

John Fulgham – Pattonville (NW St. Louis County, Mo). Fulgham was part of a core of young pitchers, including Silvio Martinez, Al Olmsted and Andy Rincon, that the Cardinals hoped would take them back into post-season play. Injuries shut all of them down far too early in their career, but in their brief time with the Cardinals, all were impressive. Especially Fulgham. The big right-hander has a most distinctive career statistic – all 14 of his career wins were complete games. His last start would come against the Houston Astros on August 27, 1980. He would be taken out of the game after just one inning. He would miss the entire 1981 season before trying to make a comeback in 1982. After struggling for two years in the Cardinals minor league system, Fulgham would retire from baseball in 1983.

Sonny Siebert – Bayless (St. Louis, Mo). The big right-hander had been an All Star starter in the American League with the Cleveland Indians and Boston Red Sox, earning one mid-season classic invitation with each club. He made a brief stop through his home town at the tail end of his career. At age 37, Siebert made 20 starts for the St. Louis in 1974. His last Cardinals win would come in relief, pitching the last 2 1/3 of the 25 inning marathon with the Mets, on September 11. In that game, another aging veteran turned back the clock when Claude Osteen threw 9 1/3 scoreless innings to set up the win for Seibert.

Jerry Reuss

Jerry Reuss – Ritenour (Overland, Mo). Jerry Reuss was a tall left-hander that the Cardinals drafted out of high school in 1967. He went on to a long and productive career, winning 220 games over his 22 year career. Those 220 wins puts Reuss at #75 on the major league wins list with Tim Wakefield (193) and Roy Halladay (169) being the closest active pitchers. Not known as a strikeout pitcher, his 1,907 is good enough for #79 on the all time list, although he will soon be passed by Johan Santana (1,877), Livan Hernandez (1,832) and CC Sabathia (1,794). To learn more about the career of Jerry Reuss, listen to the United Cardinal Bloggers show from Feb 19, 2011 where Daniel Shoptaw and I interview the former Cardinal hurler.

Harry Parker

Harry Parker – Collinsville (Collinsville, Il). Primarily a reliever in his major league career with the Cardinals, Mets and Indians, Parker did make four starts with the Cardinals in 1970. All three of his decisions in St. Louis (1-2) would come in relief. Parker pitched a brilliant came against Carl Morton and the Montreal Expos on September 27, 1970. In nine innings of work, he would hold the Expos scoreless. Unfortunately for Parker, Morton was even better, throwing 11 scoreless innings. Tom Hilgendorf would take the loss in relief when Adolpho Phillips (remember that name?) singled with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 11th inning to give the Expos a 1-0 victory.

Bob Miller

Bob Miller – Beaumont (St. Louis). Bob Miller had a long and productive career as a reliever, playing for many teams over his 17 seasons. From 1957 to 1961, Miller would get 22 starts for the Cardinals, before being the first player selected by the New York Mets in the 1962 expansion draft. After one season in New York, Miller would be traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers, where he would enjoy his best years in the majors.

Jack Faszholz was born in St. Louis, but grew up in Berkeley, California. He did get one start for the Cardinals in 1953, but should probably not be on this list. At least not without an asterisk.

Eldred “Bud” Byerly – Webster Groves (Webster Groves, Mo). Bud Byerly pitched for the Cardinals between 1943 and 1945, making 14 starts. He would go on to pitch for Cincinnati, Washington, Boston and San Francisco. In addition to 237 major league appearances, Bud also pitched in 509 minor league games, as late as 1961.

Bill McGee

Bill McGee – Batchtown Il. Bill is another pitcher that probably didn’t make Rob Rains’ list. Batchtown is a small community on the Illinois side of the Mississippi River. It is west of Pere Marquette Park and Grafton and due north of St. Peters. In the 1930′s, they might not have considered themselves part of the St. Louis metro area, but they are close enough for me.

McGee pitched for the Cardinals for between 1935 and 1941 before being traded to the New York Giants where he would spend his last two seasons. While in St. Louis, he would make 144 starts. He had a career high of 16 wins in 1940.

Bill Walker

Bill Walker – East St. Louis (East St. Louis, Il). Bill Walker was a left handed pitcher who was originally signed by the New York Giants. He would be traded to St. Louis in 1933. In 4 years, Walker would make 77 starts with his last being against his former club on September 14, 1936.

Leo Dickerman – De Soto, Mo. Like Bill Walker, Dickerman started his major league career in New York, but with the other National League team – the Brooklyn Dodgers. He would spend the last 2 years of his rather short major league career in St. Louis (1924-1925) where he would start 31 games.

Henry “Hi” Jasper – St. Louis, Mo. In his short major league career, Jasper would pitch for the White Sox, Cardinals and Indians. In 1916, Jasper would start 9 games for his home town team.

Gene Dale – St. Louis, Mo. Gene Dale was a tall right hander who pitched for the Cardinals in 1911 and 1912. He would start 5 games over that two year period.

Bob Netherton covers Cardinals history for i70baseball.com and writes at On the Outside Corner. You may follow Bob on Twitter here or on Facebook here.

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