Going To WAR On The Trades Of The GMDM Era- Part 5: 2010
On we go, with our analysis of the trades of the Dayton Moore era as General Manager of the Kansas City Royals. When combined together, the results up until 2010 have not been altogether flattering. As was mentioned in the previous piece, as we get closer in years to the present day, the data becomes less reliable as many of the players involved in these trades are still in the minor leagues so there are no statistics with which to come up with their WAR. Due to the number of trades made in the 2010 year, this year will be split into 2 columns with the next and final piece also including the conclusion to this evaluation. So without any further ado, the GMDM trades of 2010:
In 2 forgettable seasons with the Royals, Rosa compiled a 0.3 WAR, which is right around replacement level. He was clearly expendable, and was out of baseball after the 2010 season. Navarro spent last season in Double A Northwest Arkansas, and at best, projects out to be a slick-fielding utility infielder who can’t hit. He will likely spend 2012 in Triple A Omaha. So while Arizona technically wins this trade on WAR, the Royals have a chance to come out on top still.
Rosa: 0.1 WAR with Diamondbacks (2010)
Navarro: 0.0 WAR (has yet to appear for Royals)
Diamondbacks win trade by 0.1 WAR
At the time this trade was made, the consensus was that the Royals sold high on Callaspo and made out well. O’Sullivan was pegged as a solid, young back of the rotation starter, and Smith was a lower level minor leaguer with a little more upside. A year and half later, the consensus is that O’Sullivan isn’t very good, Smith is still a few years away, and Callaspo has continued to be an effective player for the Angels, sporting a stellar .366 OBP and 4.5 WAR (near all-star level) in 2011. However, at the time he was traded, the Royals needed to find a way to get Wilson Betemit in the lineup, and knew they had Mike Moustakas coming up soon, so Callaspo needed to be dealt while his stock was high. While O’Sullivan has shown some flashes, he has been more bad than good. He is however, still just 24 years old so it is possible he could turn the corner and become a useful major league pitcher. Smith is just 22 and pitched at Northwest Arkansas in 2011. He will likely make the jump to Omaha in 2012. He is not currently on the 40-man roster, but is slated to be a non-roster invitee to spring training. Just going by the numbers and the productivity that each team has received at the major league level up to this point, this trade qualifies as the single biggest fleecing of the Dayton Moore era…and not the kind of fleecing you want to see if you’re a Royals fan.
Callaspo: 5.0 WAR with Angels (1/2 of 2010 and 2011)
Smith: 0.0 WAR (has yet to appear for Royals)
O’Sullivan: -2.0 WAR with Royals (1/2 of 2010 and 2011)
Angels win trade by 7.0 WAR
When Moore signed Podsednik as a free agent prior to the 2010 season, the best case scenario would have been for Pods to play at a high level for half a season, allowing the Royals to flip him at the deadline for some useful pieces for the long-term. And that is exactly what happened. Podsednik, at the age of 34, was in the midst of putting up statistically the second best season of his lengthy career with a line of .310/.353/.400. Moore then predicatbly found a taker for him at the deadline in the Dodgers. In return the Royals received Pitcher Elisaul Pimentaul and Catcher Lucas May. Pimentel spent 2011 at Double A Northwest Arkansas and has yet to establish himself as anything more than organizational depth. May appeared with the Royals in 2010 for an uninspiring 39 plate appearances, before being dealt in 2011 to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Podsednik did little for the Dodgers after this trade, but judging off of WAR, the Royals once again came out on the short end.
Podsednik: 0.0 WAR with Dodgers (1/2 of 2010)
Pimentel: 0.0 WAR (has yet to appear for Royals)
May: -0.6 WAR with Royals (1/2 of 2010)
Dodgers win trade by 0.6 WAR
What was said above about best case scenario for Podsednik, can also be applied to the signing of Rick Ankiel. However, it ends there as Ankiel was far from effective in his half-season with the Royals. In fact, at times it seemed he might be attempting his best Juan Gonzalez impersonation with all of the time he spent on the DL. It was a miracle the Royals were able to unload him on anyone. Farnsworth was brutal in 2009, his first year with the Royals. However, in 2010, he bounced back in a big way making himself a very attractive chip at the trade deadline. Of the 3 players the Royals received in exchange for these 2, Tim Collins is the only one still with the Royals and will be battling for a spot on the 2012 opening day roster pitching out of the bullpen. With him being the only player in the entire trade still on the roster of the team they were traded to, this trade could get even better for the Royals as time goes on.
Ankiel: 0.3 WAR with Braves (1/2 of 2010)
Farnsworth: -0.3 WAR with Braves (1/2 of 2010)
Blanco: 0.4 WAR with Royals (1/2 of 2010)
Chavez: -1.0 WAR with Royals (1/2 of 2010 and 2011)
Collins: 1.1 WAR with Royals (2011)
Royals win trade by 0.5 WAR
Please come back next week for the conclusion of this evaluation. So far, it is not looking good for Dayton…